*Fieldwork took place while the criticism over her handling of exam results was unfolding. In the context of Scottish independence, this generally means that the question would be asked in the fashion of "Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom?". The use of this format has been criticised by Scottish nationalists; SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit".[20]. Yes already held a two point lead back in January, but this seems to have increased over the course of the coronavirus pandemic. In the referendum, on 18 September 2014, Scotland voted against independence by 55.3% to 44.7%, with an overall turnout of 84.6%. Prior to the Scottish independence referendum in 2014, some three option opinion polls were conducted, giving respondents the option of full independence, some (undefined) form of increased devolution and the status quo.

By comparison, just 20% think the Prime Minister is doing well, compared to 74% who think he is doing badly. ", "Clear majority in favour of Scottish independence, poll shows", "Majority of Scots would vote to 'remain in the UK', according to new poll", https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/poll-support-for-scottish-independence-at-32-1-4683018/amp, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=983547683, Articles with dead external links from April 2020, Articles with permanently dead external links, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, Excludes 16 and 17 year olds. Copyright © 2018 YouGov PLC. These polls have been carried out since six weeks after the referendum. However, it does mean that a hypothetical referendum would be closely with both sides still in the running.

[16] This trend continued into January 2020, when three polls put "Yes" support at between 50% and 52% (excluding undecideds). Firstly, the SNP still look set for a landslide victory in next May’s Scottish Parliament elections, an election they will go into pledging to hold a second independence referendum. They are now polling at 57% on the constituency vote and 47% on the list vote. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming independent’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". [14] From 18 September 2016 to 18 September 2017 twenty-six polls were conducted with twenty-five returning "No" as the most popular answer and only one returning "Yes" as the most popular answer. journalists in 50+ countries covering politics, business, innovation, trends and more. [15], "No" continued to show a lead in opinion polls until July 2019, when one poll by Lord Ashcroft showed a narrow majority for "Yes".

[17] During the spring there was essentially equal support for the two options, however from June onwards polling showed a consistent lead for "Yes". Nobody could ever accuse the Lib Dem leadership of being equidistant between the Tories and the SNP, but it looks like their voters suddenly are. (asked after the referendum)", "How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? | Free to Read, Borat returns with Giuliani, Pence and a female accomplice, ‘Bank of Son and Daughter’ could pay dearly for retirement, Wish I were there: the glory of California’s redwoods, For 4 weeks receive unlimited Premium digital access to the FT's trusted, award-winning business news, MyFT – track the topics most important to you, FT Weekend – full access to the weekend content, Mobile & Tablet Apps – download to read on the go, Gift Article – share up to 10 articles a month with family, friends and colleagues, Integration with third party platforms and CRM systems, Usage based pricing and volume discounts for multiple users, Subscription management tools and usage reporting, Dedicated account and customer success teams. Between 1988 and 1995, MORI polled voters on independence giving four opinions: independence inside the European Economic Community (European Union after 1992), independence outside the organisation, devolution and the status quo. [9] Polls in the run-up to the referendum vote showed a closing of the gap, with one poll giving the Yes campaign a 51–49 lead. In a poll last month, Ipsos Mori put Scottish Conservative support at 26 per cent. Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, Proposed second Scottish independence referendum § Opinion polling, "Britain divided over Scottish Independence", "Yes voters take lead in new independence poll", "Scottish independence: Depending on the pollster, it looks like a photo finish", "Scottish referendum: Scotland votes 'No' to independence", "Referendum results: Turnout a record high as Scots vote No to independence", "New poll: Scotland would back indy if fresh vote was held now", "What are the latest polls saying about Scottish independence?

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At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Richard Lenoard, the Scottish Labour leader has successfully managed to increase the number of people who think he is doing well up to 10% from 7%, but there are still nearly four times as many (37%) who think he is doing badly. Respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland, how would you vote? This is the largest lead of any YouGov poll on the matter, and is driven by three in ten (30%) of those who voted No last time, and then Remain in 2016, now saying they would vote Yes. This would continue their trajectory of losing seats at every single election since devolution.